FEATURES OF MODELING COMPANY DEVELOPMENT SCENARIOS BASED ON CHANGES IN STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.30890/2709-2313.2025-41-08-004Keywords:
strategies, scenario planning, strategic management, scenario modeling, company development, conditions of uncertaintyAbstract
The article explores the role of scenario planning in modern strategic management of companies, analyzes the concept of scenario planning as a flexible tool for predicting the development of events in conditions of uncertainty. The relationship between scMetrics
References
Pshenichna I.V., Prodius Yu.I., Izotov S.O. Scenario planning for the development of foreign economic activity of a hotel business enterprise in the context of a global pandemic. Economics. Finance. Law, 2021. No. 6. P.9–13. DOI: https://doi.org/10.37634/efp.2021.6.2
Ulyanchenko N. Strategy of enterprise management in wartime // Bulletin of KhNU. Economic Sciences, 2025, No. 3(1), P.293–297. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/392250953_STRATEGIA_UPRAVLINNA_PIDPRIEMSTVOM_V_UMOVAH_VOENNOGO_STANUSTRATEGY_OF_ENTERPRISE_MANAGEMENT_UNDER_MARTIAL_LAW
Cordova-Pozo K., Rouwette E.A.J.A. Types of scenario planning and their effectiveness: A review of reviews. Futures, 2023, 149 (5):103153. DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2023.103153. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/369671404_Types_of_scenario_planning_and_their_effectiveness_A_review_of_reviews#:~:text=in%20short%20term%20disruptions%20,term
Cabanes B., Roger O., Doganova L. The scenario method: an aid to strategic planning. Polytechnique Insights, 25 Oct 2023. (Institut Polytechnique de Paris, online). https://www.polytechnique-insights.com/en/columns/society/the-scenario-method-an-aid-to-strategic-planning/
Johansen I. Scenario modelling with morphological analysis. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2018, 126(C), P.116–125. DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2017.05.016
Fotr J., Váčik E., Špaček M., Souček I. Scenarios and their application in strategic planning. E+M Ekonomie a Management, 2014, 17(3), pp. 118–135. 10.15240/tul/001/2014-3-010
Heinonen S., Karjalainen J., Ruotsalainen J. – Neo‑Carbon Energy Scenarios 2050: Radical Transformation in a Distributed Society. FFRC eBook, University of Turku, 2016.https://www.utu.fi/sites/default/files/public%3A//media/file/NeoCarbon-WP1-1-2016.pdf
Wack P. Scenarios: uncharted waters ahead. Harvard Business Review, 1985, Sept-Oct, pp.73–89. https://hbr.org/1985/09/scenarios-uncharted-waters-ahead.
Foresight4Food – The Power of Foresight: Food Systems Transformation. Open Access Report (April 2025). https://foresight4food.net/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/Rome-Workshop-report-Apr-9.pdf
Piirainen K.A., Gonzalez R.A., Bragge J. A Systemic Evaluation Framework for Futures Research. Futures, 2012 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/234660588_A_systemic_evaluation_framework_for_futures_research
Piirainen, K., & Gonzalez, R. A. Theory of and within foresight – “What does a theory of foresight even mean?”. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2015. #96, 191–201. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.03.003 https://backend.orbit.dtu.dk/ws/portalfiles/portal/110824705/Theory_of_and_within_foresight.pdf
Schoemaker P.J.H. When and how to use scenario planning: a heuristic approach. Journal of Forecasting, 2004, 23(7), pp.543–564. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/220040372_When_and_How_to_Use_Scenario_Planning_A_Heuristic_Approach_with_Illustration
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Authors

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.